Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.