Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.19%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.