Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw has a probability of 22.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.47%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it is 0-1 (5.53%).
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
57.79% ( -1.94) | 22.19% ( 0.27) | 20.02% ( 1.68) |
Both teams to score 54.37% ( 2.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.79% ( 1.31) | 44.21% ( -1.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.41% ( 1.26) | 66.58% ( -1.25) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.97% ( -0.19) | 15.02% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.5% ( -0.36) | 43.5% ( 0.36) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.99% ( 2.57) | 36.01% ( -2.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.21% ( 2.53) | 72.79% ( -2.53) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.67) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.69) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.49) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.64% Total : 57.79% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.18% | 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |