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New York City
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Citi Field
New York Red Bulls

NY City
vs.
NY Red Bulls

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 NY City
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We say: New York City FC 1-0 New York Red Bulls

The Red Bulls have shown themselves to be a quality attacking side, but we believe it will be much harder to penetrate the Pigeons' backline, which have conceded a goal or fewer in four of their last five home fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw has a probability of 22.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.47%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it is 0-1 (5.53%).

Result
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
57.79% (-1.942 -1.94) 22.19% (0.267 0.27) 20.02% (1.679 1.68)
Both teams to score 54.37% (2.065 2.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79% (1.306 1.31)44.21% (-1.304 -1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.41% (1.257 1.26)66.58% (-1.254 -1.25)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.97% (-0.188 -0.19)15.02% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.5% (-0.357 -0.36)43.5% (0.36 0.36)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (2.567 2.57)36.01% (-2.566 -2.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (2.534 2.53)72.79% (-2.53 -2.53)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 57.79%
    New York Red Bulls 20.02%
    Draw 22.18%
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.67 -0.67)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.691 -0.69)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.14% (-0.486 -0.49)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.196 0.2)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.91% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.084 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 57.79%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.343 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.136 0.14)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.18%
0-1 @ 5.53% (0.075 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.395 0.4)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.226 0.23)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.248 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.225 0.23)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.02%

Who will win Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between NY City and NY Red Bulls?

New York City FC
Draw
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
75.0%
Draw
0.0%
New York Red Bulls
25.0%
4
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 8.30pm
NY City
0-0
NY Red Bulls
Pellegrini (42'), Morales (63'), Sands (90+3')
Barlow (48'), Ndam (69'), Harper (90+7'), Tolkin (90+7')
May 14, 2023 12.30am
Jul 17, 2022 10pm
Oct 17, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 40
NY Red Bulls
1-0
NY City
Casseres Jr (3')
Nealis (16'), Davis (21')

Chanot (34'), Amundsen (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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