Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 3-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
62.74% ( -0.01) | 19.19% ( 0) | 18.07% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 61.52% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.79% ( -0.03) | 33.21% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.03% ( -0.03) | 54.96% ( 0.03) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.82% ( -0.01) | 10.18% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.57% ( -0.02) | 33.43% ( 0.02) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.49% ( -0.02) | 31.51% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.1% ( -0.03) | 67.9% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.64% 4-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 62.74% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 19.19% | 1-2 @ 4.89% 0-1 @ 3.7% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 18.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 46 |
2 | Arsenal | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 40 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 40 |
4 | Chelsea | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 36 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 34 |
7 | Bournemouth | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 33 |
8 | Aston Villa | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 32 |
9 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Brentford | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 27 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 24 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 23 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 21 |
16 | Everton | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 44 | -32 | 6 |
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