Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Nice had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
31.01% ( 0.05) | 24.89% ( -0.01) | 44.1% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.58% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.49% ( 0.05) | 46.51% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.21% ( 0.05) | 68.79% ( -0.05) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.75% ( 0.06) | 28.25% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.04% ( 0.07) | 63.96% ( -0.08) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.86% | 21.14% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.02% ( -0) | 53.98% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.01% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |