Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
47.17% ( 0.17) | 23.06% ( 0.01) | 29.76% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 62.3% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.31% ( -0.15) | 38.68% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.01% ( -0.16) | 60.98% ( 0.16) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.26% ( 0) | 16.73% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.34% ( 0.01) | 46.65% ( -0.01) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.82% ( -0.19) | 25.17% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.1% ( -0.26) | 59.89% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.3% Total : 47.17% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |