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Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals
Mar 13, 2024 at 8.10pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nice

PSG
3 - 1
Nice

Mbappe (14'), Ruiz (33'), Beraldo (60')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Laborde (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: PSG 2-2 Reims
Sunday, March 10 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Nice

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Nice 1-2 Montpellier
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Nice

 With eyes on a historic treble, PSG will be keen to ensure safe passage into the semi-finals and should do so against out-of-form opponents. Nice's abysmal form since the start of February means they are up against it here, and a dominant PSG side should have too much for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 53.46%. A win for Nice had a probability of 23.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNice
53.46% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 23.17% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 23.37% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.91% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.54% (0.057000000000002 0.06)44.46% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.17% (0.055 0.05)66.83% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)16.59% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.61% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)46.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02% (0.107 0.11)32.98% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44% (0.117 0.12)69.56% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 53.46%
    Nice 23.37%
    Draw 23.17%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNice
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 53.46%
1-1 @ 10.9%
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.37% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 23.37%

How you voted: PSG vs Nice

Paris Saint-Germain
89.1%
Draw
5.1%
Nice
5.8%
156
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
PSG
2-3
Nice
Mbappe (29', 87')
Barcola (83'), Skriniar (89')
Moffi (21', 68'), Laborde (53')
Thuram (35'), Bard (63'), Moffi (70'), Bulka (71'), Lotomba (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 30
Nice
0-2
PSG
Messi (26'), Ramos (76')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
PSG
2-1
Nice
Messi (29'), Mbappe (83')
Laborde (47')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Nice
1-0
PSG
Delort (88')
Lemina (33')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2022 8.15pm
Round of 16
PSG
0-0
Nice
 Nice win 6-5 on penalties
Pereira (24'), Kehrer (54'), Dagba (71')
Gouiri (29'), Boudaoui (60'), Schneiderlin (76'), Todibo (77'), Atal (79')
> Preview
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