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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Morecambe

Notts County
5 - 0
Morecambe

Langstaff (10' pen., 12', 36'), Crowley (24'), Jones (46')
Brindley (17')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Taylor (38'), McKiernan (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Notts County and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Morecambe
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-1 Morecambe

 Notts County picked up a late Christmas present against Doncaster and will head into Friday's game with renewed confidence. Williams's side take on a Morecambe side who have struggled to steady their ship in recent weeks and we fancy them to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.63% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (4.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawMorecambe
61.85% (-0.434 -0.43) 18.51% (0.161 0.16) 19.63% (0.271 0.27)
Both teams to score 67.36% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.87% (-0.37599999999999 -0.38)27.13% (0.374 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.35% (-0.476 -0.48)47.65% (0.474 0.47)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.35% (-0.2 -0.2)8.64% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.19% (-0.492 -0.49)29.81% (0.491 0.49)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73%26.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 61.86%
    Morecambe 19.63%
    Draw 18.51%
Notts CountyDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.8% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.56% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.54% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 3.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.23% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.66% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
6-1 @ 0.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 61.86%
1-1 @ 7.43% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.27% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 18.51%
1-2 @ 4.97% (0.069 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.04% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.03% (0.047 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 19.63%

How you voted: Notts County vs Morecambe

Notts County
91.7%
Draw
0.0%
Morecambe
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Morecambe
0-0
Notts County
Major (37')
Baldwin (36')
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 38
Notts County
0-0
Morecambe
Rose (50'), Doyle (95')
Bennett (14'), Mingoia (33'), Cranston (67'), Fleming (86'), Halstead (95')
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 19
Morecambe
1-1
Notts County
Ellison (88')
Dennis (52')
Husin (71')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Morecambe
1-4
Notts County
Lang (89')
Grant (13', 59'), Alessandra (21', 86')
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Notts County
2-0
Morecambe
Jones (27'), Forte (85')
Hewitt (65')

Rose (26'), Muller (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale159332316730
2Walsall1483327151227
3Notts County1576223131027
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster158342117427
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe147431713425
6MK Dons157352417724
7Grimsby Town158071925-624
8Gillingham157261612423
9Chesterfield1557328181022
10Bradford CityBradford156452016422
11BarrowBarrow156451612422
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
13Salford City155551417-320
14AFC Wimbledon126151810819
15Newport CountyNewport156181926-719
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham155371922-318
17Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
18Accrington StanleyAccrington144461822-416
19Bromley143651618-215
20Harrogate TownHarrogate154381221-915
21Colchester UnitedColchester142751721-413
22Swindon TownSwindon152671623-712
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1532101328-1511
24Morecambe152491426-1210
> League Two Full Table


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