MX23RW : Monday, November 25 07:20:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Morecambe

Notts County
5 - 0
Morecambe

Langstaff (10' pen., 12', 36'), Crowley (24'), Jones (46')
Brindley (17')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Taylor (38'), McKiernan (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Notts County and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Morecambe
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-1 Morecambe

Notts County picked up a late Christmas present against Doncaster and will head into Friday's game with renewed confidence. Williams's side take on a Morecambe side who have struggled to steady their ship in recent weeks and we fancy them to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.63% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (4.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawMorecambe
61.85% (-0.434 -0.43) 18.51% (0.161 0.16) 19.63% (0.271 0.27)
Both teams to score 67.36% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.87% (-0.37599999999999 -0.38)27.13% (0.374 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.35% (-0.476 -0.48)47.65% (0.474 0.47)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.35% (-0.2 -0.2)8.64% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.19% (-0.492 -0.49)29.81% (0.491 0.49)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73%26.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 61.86%
    Morecambe 19.63%
    Draw 18.51%
Notts CountyDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.8% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.56% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.54% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 3.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.23% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.66% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
6-1 @ 0.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 61.86%
1-1 @ 7.43% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.27% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 18.51%
1-2 @ 4.97% (0.069 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.04% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.03% (0.047 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 19.63%

How you voted: Notts County vs Morecambe

Notts County
91.7%
Draw
0.0%
Morecambe
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Morecambe
0-0
Notts County
Major (37')
Baldwin (36')
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 38
Notts County
0-0
Morecambe
Rose (50'), Doyle (95')
Bennett (14'), Mingoia (33'), Cranston (67'), Fleming (86'), Halstead (95')
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 19
Morecambe
1-1
Notts County
Ellison (88')
Dennis (52')
Husin (71')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Notts County
2-0
Morecambe
Jones (27'), Forte (85')
Hewitt (65')

Rose (26'), Muller (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!