We said: Wycombe Wanderers 2-1 Morecambe
With Wycombe experiencing a poor run of league form, their last three competitive victories have all taken place in cup competitions.
With that in mind, we think that the Chairboys will do enough to claim a narrow win over a Morecambe side that have lost their last four matches.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.