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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
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MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
MK Dons

Morecambe
1 - 3
MK Dons

McKiernan (49')
Connolly (27'), McKiernan (52'), Slew (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dean (31', 90+7'), Tomlinson (69')
Williams (41'), Williams (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Morecambe and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 0-5 Morecambe
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-2 MK Dons

There is little separating the teams ahead of Saturday's clash, but MK Dons just about have the edge given their record in this fixture. We are anticipating a keenly-contested affair with the visitors narrowly coming out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawMK Dons
29.93% (-0.21 -0.21) 24.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 45.11% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.78% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)47.31% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (0.004999999999999 0)69.54% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (-0.14 -0.14)29.39% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (-0.174 -0.17)65.37% (0.176 0.18)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (0.107 0.11)21.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.2% (0.166 0.17)53.8% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 29.93%
    MK Dons 45.11%
    Draw 24.95%
MorecambeDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.63% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 29.93%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 9.63% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.51% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.79% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.91% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 45.11%

How you voted: Morecambe vs MK Dons

Morecambe
23.1%
Draw
19.2%
MK Dons
57.7%
26
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
MK Dons
1-0
Morecambe
Leko (57')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
MK Dons
2-0
Morecambe
O'Hora (18'), Dennis (51')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Morecambe
0-4
MK Dons
Grigg (16', 36'), Grant (62'), Dennis (67')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
MK Dons
2-0
Morecambe
Darling (20'), Harvie (79')
Kasumu (32'), Lewington (56')

Gibson (7'), Connolly (67'), Phillips (86'), Ayunga (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Morecambe
0-4
MK Dons

McLoughlin (32')
Eisa (23'), O'Riley (40', 82'), Darling (64')
O'Hora (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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