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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Orlando City
0 - 1
Cincinnati


Araujo (30'), Jansson (62'), Murphy (64'), Halliday (90+1')
Schlegel (23')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Acosta (1')
Halsey (55'), Cartagena (56'), Halliday (66'), Valenzuela (90')
Halsey (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 1-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Colorado
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-0 FC Cincinnati

Goals have been hard to come by in this fixture, and we expect another drab affair this weekend. That said, we can also see the home side coming out on top at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawFC Cincinnati
47.78% (-1.087 -1.09) 24.1% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 28.12% (1.033 1.03)
Both teams to score 57.45% (0.657 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43% (0.488 0.49)44.56% (-0.491 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.07% (0.47300000000001 0.47)66.93% (-0.476 -0.48)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)18.77% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82% (-0.409 -0.41)50.18% (0.40499999999999 0.4)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (1.015 1.02)29.26% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (1.231 1.23)65.22% (-1.233 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 47.78%
    FC Cincinnati 28.12%
    Draw 24.1%
Orlando CityDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 47.78%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.114 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.49% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.188 0.19)
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.154 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 28.12%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Cincinnati

Orlando City
41.7%
Draw
16.7%
FC Cincinnati
41.7%
12
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-1
Orlando City

Acosta (44'), Boupendza (90+4')
Torres (44')
Santos (13'), Dan Thor­halls­son (41'), Araujo (55'), Gallese (90+11'), Urso (90+5')
Cartagena (90+5')
Jun 25, 2022 12.30am
Mar 13, 2022 12.30am
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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