Major League Soccer

Apr 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Kubo (3')
Nwobodo (32'), Miazga (45+4'), Orellano (74')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Amaya (19'), Vanzeir (60')
Amaya (70'), Ngoma (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 Cincinnati
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-0 New York Red Bulls

Both sides are coming into this match following fairly underwhelming performances last weekend and will be looking for a better showing this week. There is very little to separate these two on paper but Cincinnati's defence, particularly at home, has been impressive and we feel they will be able to manage another shut out here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	New York Red Bulls
55.76% ( 0.57)	24.49% ( -0.06)	19.74% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 46.89% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.04% (

-0.38)

53.95% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.6% (

-0.32)

75.4% (

0.31)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.74% (

0.08)

19.25% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.02% (

0.13)

50.97% (

-0.13)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.07% (

-0.78)

41.92% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.63% (

-0.69)

78.37% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 55.75%

New York Red Bulls 19.74%

Draw 24.49%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 55.75%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.49%	0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.74%