We said: Orlando City 2-1 Philadelphia Union
Although Philadelphia have secured six points from their last three road matches, facing an in-form Orlando could scupper the playoff-chasing side's prospects.
While their goalscoring proficiency away from home could see them score for the eighth road match in succession, the home side will back themselves to notch a fourth consecutive victory at Euphoria Stadium.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 14.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Orlando City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Orlando City.