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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Aug 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Columbus Crew

Philadelphia
0 - 1
Columbus Crew


Wagner (45+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yeboah (75')
Jones (3'), Amundsen (89'), Schulte (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-0 Columbus Crew

The Union have built up some nice momentum at home recently, and playing a Crew side just a few days removed from the emotional high of winning the Leagues Cup, we believe the reigning MLS Cup champions will suffer a letdown in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawColumbus Crew
41.57% (-0.601 -0.6) 23.53% (0.061 0.06) 34.9% (0.543 0.54)
Both teams to score 62.9% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.14% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)38.86% (0.165 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.82% (-0.172 -0.17)61.18% (0.175 0.17)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.93% (-0.325 -0.33)19.07% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.33% (-0.546 -0.55)50.67% (0.549 0.55)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (0.218 0.22)22.28% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (0.325 0.32)55.73% (-0.321 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 41.57%
    Columbus Crew 34.9%
    Draw 23.53%
Philadelphia UnionDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 41.57%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.081 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.38% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.064 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 34.9%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Columbus Crew

Philadelphia Union
53.3%
Draw
8.9%
Columbus Crew
37.8%
45
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2024 12.30am
Semi-Finals
Columbus Crew
3-1
Philadelphia
Rossi (12', 43'), Camilo Hernandez (53')
Zawadzki (49')
Gazdag (32')
Bueno (90+1')
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
Apr 9, 2022 11pm
rhs 2.0
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