Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 72.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 10.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.