Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.