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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Apr 28, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
Toronto FC

Orlando City
1 - 2
Toronto

McGuire (36')
McGuire (55'), Araujo (67'), Lodeiro (75'), Lodeiro (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Spicer (87'), Osei Owusu (90')
Gomis (11'), Osei Owusu (50'), Petretta (57'), Schlegel (90+3'), Johnson (90+3')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Toronto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 1-0 New England
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 11.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawToronto
70.02% (0.054000000000002 0.05) 18.48% (-0.026 -0.03) 11.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.49% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.63% (0.055 0.05)44.37% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.26% (0.054000000000002 0.05)66.74% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.53% (0.030000000000001 0.03)11.47% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.69% (0.064 0.06)36.31% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)47.49% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.15% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)82.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 70.01%
    Toronto 11.5%
    Draw 18.48%
Orlando CityDrawToronto
2-0 @ 12.77%
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 9.22% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.99% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.72% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.16% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 70.01%
1-1 @ 8.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 18.48%
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 11.5%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 11.20pm
Jul 5, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
4-0
Toronto
Araujo (16'), McGuire (22'), Dan Thor­halls­son (77'), Kara (84')
Gallese (62')

Coello (45+1'), Bernardeschi (47'), Petretta (80')
Bernardeschi (62')
Sep 18, 2022 12.30am
May 14, 2022 8pm
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Toronto
1-1
Orlando City
Altidore (72')
Bono (76')

Schlegel (68'), Perea (79')
rhs 2.0
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