Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.52%) and 0-1 (6.51%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.