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League One
Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Carlisle United

Peterborough
1 - 3
Carlisle

Randall (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mellish (27', 49', 58')
Ellis (7'), Mellish (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 Stevenage
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Carlisle United

 Peterborough come into this game with almost triple the points that Carlisle have picked up this season and will be strong favourites to take all three points from the match as they continue their push for the automatic promotion places. While Carlisle were able to gain a point from the reverse fixture of this tie thanks to a 96th-minute equaliser from Jordan Gibson, they have failed to win on Peterborough's home soil since the 1999-2000 season, losing four out of five meetings since then. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 12.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawCarlisle United
70.6% (-0.31 -0.31) 17.19% (0.165 0.16) 12.22% (0.144 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.51% (-0.162 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.61% (-0.43500000000001 -0.44)36.39% (0.432 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.48% (-0.476 -0.48)58.52% (0.474 0.47)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.82% (-0.185 -0.19)9.18% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.9% (-0.437 -0.44)31.1% (0.435 0.44)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.92% (-0.061 -0.06)41.08% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.37% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)77.62% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 70.59%
    Carlisle United 12.22%
    Draw 17.19%
Peterborough UnitedDrawCarlisle United
2-0 @ 10.75% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.01% (0.117 0.12)
3-0 @ 8.56% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 5.11% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.55% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.44% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.17% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 70.59%
1-1 @ 8.01% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.77% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.19%
1-2 @ 3.56% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.36% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.49% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.26%
1-3 @ 1.06% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 12.22%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Carlisle

Peterborough United
78.6%
Draw
17.9%
Carlisle United
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Carlisle
1-1
Peterborough
Gibson (90+6')
Back (76'), Moxon (90+3')
Edwards (72')
> Preview
Nov 8, 2014 3pm
First Round
Peterborough
2-1
Carlisle
Burgess (42', 91')
Vassell (45')
Asamoah (8')
Apr 21, 2014 3pm
Peterborough
4-1
Carlisle
Washington (14'), Assombalonga (55' pen., 73' pen.), Bostwick (90')
Baldwin (19'), Nugent (53')
Miller (63')
Pickford (73')
Dec 29, 2013 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Peterborough
Amoo (72', 73')
Noble (19'), Buaben (42'), O'Hanlon (60')
Tomlin (61')
Assombalonga (49'), Swanson (68'), Little (90'), Tomlin (90')
Ephraim (52')
> Match Report
Mar 12, 2011 3pm
Peterborough
6-0
Carlisle
Bennett (77'), Rowe (2'), Boyd (45', 83'), Mackail-Smith (24'), Ball (90')

Curran (41'), Cooper (45'), Berrett (90')
Cooper (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120
> League One Full Table


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