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League One
Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Peterborough United

Carlisle
1 - 1
Peterborough

Gibson (90+6')
Back (76'), Moxon (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edwards (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Peterborough United

 Peterborough have taken only two points from their last three games, but we expect them to better that tally on Tuesday alone by beating Carlisle. Simpson's side look like they may be lacking quality in order to survive at this level, but they will continue to fight hard and will not make things easy for their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawPeterborough United
31.78% (-0.45 -0.45) 24.9% (-0.199 -0.2) 43.32% (0.65 0.65)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.498 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (0.727 0.73)46.25% (-0.723 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46% (0.683 0.68)68.55% (-0.67699999999999 -0.68)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (0.070999999999998 0.07)27.63% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84% (0.090000000000003 0.09)63.16% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (0.61199999999999 0.61)21.38% (-0.608 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.64% (0.932 0.93)54.36% (-0.928 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 31.78%
    Peterborough United 43.32%
    Draw 24.9%
Carlisle UnitedDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 7.6% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.78%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.03% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.122 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.61% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.084 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.059 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 43.32%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Peterborough

Carlisle United
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Peterborough United
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2014 3pm
First Round
Peterborough
2-1
Carlisle
Burgess (42', 91')
Vassell (45')
Asamoah (8')
Apr 21, 2014 3pm
Peterborough
4-1
Carlisle
Washington (14'), Assombalonga (55' pen., 73' pen.), Bostwick (90')
Baldwin (19'), Nugent (53')
Miller (63')
Pickford (73')
Dec 29, 2013 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Peterborough
Amoo (72', 73')
Noble (19'), Buaben (42'), O'Hanlon (60')
Tomlin (61')
Assombalonga (49'), Swanson (68'), Little (90'), Tomlin (90')
Ephraim (52')
> Match Report
Mar 12, 2011 3pm
Peterborough
6-0
Carlisle
Bennett (77'), Rowe (2'), Boyd (45', 83'), Mackail-Smith (24'), Ball (90')

Curran (41'), Cooper (45'), Berrett (90')
Cooper (63')
Oct 2, 2010 3pm
Carlisle
0-1
Peterborough
Mackail-Smith (32')
McLean (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
> League One Full Table


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