Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.