Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.