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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Austin
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Rubio (56'), Gallagher (58')
Wolff (34'), Biro (45+6'), Rubio (56'), Cascante (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gazdag (14' pen.), Uhre (65')
Sullivan (33'), Carranza (45+5'), Andres Martinez (62'), Elliott (70'), Gazdag (81'), Lowe (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 2-2 St Louis City
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Pachuca 6-0 Philadelphia
Wednesday, March 13 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Austin FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Clean sheets have been at a premium for both sides of late, and we expect neither of them to come away unbroken from this one. We are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
45.47% (-1.413 -1.41) 24.96% (0.643 0.64) 29.57% (0.776 0.78)
Both teams to score 55.55% (-1.637 -1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.48% (-2.379 -2.38)47.52% (2.384 2.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (-2.241 -2.24)69.72% (2.245 2.25)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-1.566 -1.57)20.94% (1.572 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-2.514 -2.51)53.68% (2.519 2.52)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)29.74% (0.667 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (-0.812 -0.81)65.81% (0.816 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 45.47%
    Philadelphia Union 29.57%
    Draw 24.96%
Austin FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.494 0.49)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.224 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 45.47%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.39 0.39)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.597 0.6)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.596 0.6)
1-2 @ 7.16% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.283 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Austin vs Philadelphia

Austin FC
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Philadelphia Union
14.3%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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