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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 41%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Hull City |
34.48% ( -0.32) | 24.51% ( 0.06) | 41% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 59.16% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.3% ( -0.34) | 43.7% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.91% ( -0.34) | 66.09% ( 0.34) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.24% ( -0.34) | 24.76% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.68% ( -0.48) | 59.32% ( 0.48) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.62% ( -0.03) | 21.38% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.64% ( -0.04) | 54.36% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Hull City |
2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45 | 16 | 29 | 52 |
2 | Burnley | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 49 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 49 |
4 | Sunderland | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 47 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 40 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 39 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 39 |
8 | Watford | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 37 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Bristol City | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 34 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 33 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
13 | Millwall | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 29 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
17 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 27 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 22 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 22 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 19 |
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