We said: Porto 4-0 Moreirense
Moreirense have lost on every previous visit to the Dragao, and despite performing miracles in this competition in 2017, which included a win over Porto, a repeat is hugely improbable.
Porto are set to make a few changes to the side, but they will still be fully expecting a comfortable win against a team they have beaten 5-0 here in back-to-back seasons.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 9.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 3-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.