Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 6, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
2 - 1
Braga

Galeno (45+1' pen.), Pepe (59')
Bruno Clara Santos Mota Fernandes (11'), Mario (19'), Carvalho (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fernandes (54')
Ferreira (43'), Carvalho (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 3-3 Man Utd
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Olympiacos 3-0 Braga
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Braga have lost each of their last four Primeira Liga visits to the Estadio do Dragao and are in for another tough 90 against a Porto side who are unbeaten in 10 straight competitive home games. While we expect Carvalhal's men to put up a fight, Porto boast the firepower needed to get the job done, and we are backing them to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Braga had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Porto	Draw	Braga
58.27% ( 0.32)	21.52% ( -0.13)	20.21% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 56.96% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.07% (

0.31)

40.92% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.68% (

0.31)

63.31% (

-0.31)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.22% (

0.2)

13.78% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.91% (

0.39)

41.09% (

-0.39)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.07% (

-0.01)

33.93% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.39% (

-0.02)

70.6% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Porto 58.27%

Braga 20.21%

Draw 21.51%

Porto	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.24% Total : 58.27%	1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.51%	1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 20.21%

How you voted: Porto vs Braga

Porto

82.9%

Draw

12.2%

Braga

4.9%

Head to Head

May 18, 2024 8.30pm

Gameweek 34

Braga

0-1

Porto

Gomez (8'), Oliveira (13'), Borja (79')
Gomez (12')

Galeno (84')
Conceicao (31')

> Preview

Jan 14, 2024 8.30pm

Gameweek 17

Porto

2-0

Braga

Cardoso (12'), Evanilson (49' pen.)
Pepe (25'), Gonzalez (62'), Conceicao (66'), Conceicao (66')

Horta (26'), Carvalho (45+2'), Oliveira (79'), Djalo (82'), Fonte (90+1')

> Preview

Jun 4, 2023 5.15pm

Final

Braga

0-2

Porto

Horta (29'), Borja (35'), Gomez (66'), Bruma (85')
Niakate (79')

Horta (53' og.), Otavio (81')
Otavio (25'), Galeno (60'), Conceicao (66'), Uribe (72'), Taremi (76'), Pepe (85')
Wendell (62')

> Match Report

Mar 19, 2023 6pm

Gameweek 25

Braga

0-0

Porto

> Preview

Sep 30, 2022 9.15pm

Gameweek 8

Porto

4-1

Braga

Evanilson (32'), Eustaquio (34'), Pepe (63'), Galeno (90+6')

Pepe (55' og.)

> Preview

Form Guide

Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Porto

Olympiacos 3-0 Braga

Braga 4-0 Rio Ave

Braga 2-1 M. Tel Aviv

Nacional 0-3 Braga

Braga 0-2 Guimaraes

Gil Vicente 0-0 Braga

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Porto
2 - 1
Braga