MX23RW : Monday, January 6 13:45:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Moreirense

Estrela Amadora
2 - 1
Moreirense

Bucca (2'), Kikas (20')
Bucca (46'), Cissokho (57'), Varela (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ramos (83')
Silva (69'), Nlavo (73'), Miguel Costa Santos (86')
Peixoto (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, September 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 0-0 Famalicao
Saturday, September 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Moreirense

While Estrela could respond to the managerial change positively, they may have to settle for a point against a Moreirense side that typically thrives in this fixture, notching 4-2 and 1-0 wins in the last two visits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawMoreirense
41.98% (-0.446 -0.45) 27.28% (-0.143 -0.14) 30.73% (0.585 0.59)
Both teams to score 48.87% (0.66399999999999 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.58% (0.724 0.72)56.41% (-0.726 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.57% (0.582 0.58)77.42% (-0.58500000000001 -0.59)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (0.099999999999994 0.1)26.52% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.28% (0.133 0.13)61.72% (-0.135 -0.13)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (0.812 0.81)33.48% (-0.815 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (0.88 0.88)70.12% (-0.883 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 41.97%
    Moreirense 30.73%
    Draw 27.28%
Estrela AmadoraDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 11.78% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 41.97%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.88% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.136 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.32% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.105 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.73%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense

Estrela Amadora
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Moreirense
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 28
Moreirense
2-2
Estrela Amadora
Castro (26'), Brigido (43' og.)
Mingotti (70'), Franco (79'), de Brito Gonzaga (90')
Luiz (54'), Kikas (83')
Mansur (41'), Vieira (42'), Gaspar (44')
Mansur (89')
Nov 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 11
Estrela Amadora
0-1
Moreirense

Cordeiro (40'), Reis (56'), Gaspar (90+6')
Vieira (12')
Luis (90')
Madson (11'), Luis (51'), Alan (54'), de Brito Gonzaga (62'), Marcelo (76'), Ofori (81')
Wallisson (90+2')
Nov 27, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Moreirense
4-2
Estrela Amadora
Franco (32' pen.), Pacheco (45'), Alan (69'), Kodisang (83')
Salomao (26'), N'do (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave165471727-1019
11Gil Vicente164661825-718
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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