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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
53.54% ( 0.17) | 22.36% ( -0.1) | 24.1% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 59.59% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60% ( 0.37) | 40% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.64% ( 0.38) | 62.36% ( -0.38) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.03% ( 0.19) | 14.98% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.59% ( 0.35) | 43.41% ( -0.35) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.08% ( 0.14) | 29.92% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.98% ( 0.17) | 66.03% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 24.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
16 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 28 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |