Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
May 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino
Progreso1 - 4Defensor
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Defensor Sporting.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wanderers 2-0 Progreso
Saturday, May 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, May 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Fenix 0-2 Defensor
Sunday, May 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, May 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
32.58% ( 0.19) | 25.32% ( 0.03) | 42.11% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
