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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 12.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 3-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
71.14% ( 0.3) | 16.1% ( 0) | 12.75% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 59.85% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.66% ( -0.82) | 29.34% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.61% ( -1.01) | 50.39% ( 1.01) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.69% ( -0.14) | 7.31% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.57% ( -0.36) | 26.43% ( 0.37) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.57% ( -1.01) | 35.43% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.81% ( -1.06) | 72.19% ( 1.06) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.06) 6-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.29% Total : 71.14% | 1-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.27% Total : 16.1% | 1-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.11% Total : 12.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
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