Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 87.6%. A draw had a probability of 8.2% and a win for Koninklijke HFC had a probability of 4.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.65%), while for a Koninklijke HFC win it was 1-2 (1.35%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.