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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
71.93% ( 0.05) | 15.6% ( -0.02) | 12.47% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 61.07% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.5% ( -0.02) | 27.5% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.89% ( -0.02) | 48.11% ( 0.02) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.27% ( 0) | 6.73% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.12% ( 0.02) | 24.88% ( -0.02) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.47% ( -0.06) | 34.53% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.75% ( -0.07) | 71.25% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.46% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.95% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.8% Total : 71.93% | 1-1 @ 6.67% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.32% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.6% | 1-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 12.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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