Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Cadiz |
46.21% ( -0.57) | 27.51% ( -0.13) | 26.27% ( 0.69) |
Both teams to score 45.71% ( 0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.79% ( 0.83) | 59.2% ( -0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.37% ( 0.63) | 79.63% ( -0.64) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.37% ( 0.09) | 25.63% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.48% ( 0.13) | 60.52% ( -0.13) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.46% ( 1.07) | 38.53% ( -1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.71% ( 1.01) | 75.28% ( -1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.21% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.55% Total : 26.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |