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La Liga | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Athletic Bilbao logo

Cadiz
0 - 0
Athletic Bilbao


Alcaraz (47'), Fali (73'), Alejo (78'), Escalante (89')
FT

Vesga (22'), Lekue (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Cadiz
Friday, January 19 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 1-3 Athletic Bilbao

Cadiz's fans will be hoping that the arrival of a new manager can inspire the team to pick up a positive result this weekend, but Athletic have been one of the best sides in the division this term, and we are finding it difficult to predict anything other than a victory for the Basque side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.52%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
18.63% (-0.153 -0.15) 24.62% (-0.352 -0.35) 56.75% (0.51 0.51)
Both teams to score 44.84% (0.695 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.24% (1.063 1.06)55.76% (-1.058 -1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.11% (0.862 0.86)76.9% (-0.85599999999999 -0.86)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.75% (0.444 0.44)44.25% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.67% (0.358 0.36)80.33% (-0.35300000000001 -0.35)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (0.616 0.62)19.57% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.51% (0.994 0.99)51.49% (-0.99 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 18.63%
    Athletic Bilbao 56.74%
    Draw 24.62%
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 7.06% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-1 @ 4.7% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.88% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.28% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.04% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 18.63%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-2 @ 3.83% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 14.12% (-0.31 -0.31)
0-2 @ 11.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 6.26% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.11% (0.145 0.15)
0-4 @ 2.55% (0.089 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.08% (0.098 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 56.74%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Athletic Bilbao

Cadiz
7.6%
Draw
12.1%
Athletic Bilbao
80.3%
66
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 5
Athletic Bilbao
3-0
Cadiz
Guruzeta (66'), Villalibre (68'), Williams (90+1')
Paredes (45+2')

Fali (46'), Alcaraz (50'), Gomez (87'), Hernandez (90+3')
Feb 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Athletic Bilbao
4-1
Cadiz
Sancet (10', 35', 75'), Alvarez (44')
Escalante (25')
Aug 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 3
Cadiz
0-4
Athletic Bilbao

Espino (16'), Alejo (60')
Williams (24'), Guruzeta (56', 90+3'), Berenguer (78')
Lekue (39')
Apr 21, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 33
Cadiz
2-3
Athletic Bilbao
Perez (56'), Sobrino (87')
Lozano (9'), Chust (21'), Cala (63')
Garcia (3'), Muniain (22'), Vesga (33')
Martinez (50'), Vesga (63'), Vivian (69'), Vencedor (90+6')
Vesga (71')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 13
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Cadiz

Alvarez (27'), Morcillo (69'), Williams (90+2')
Salvi (6')
Haroyan (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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