La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Madrid4 - 1Las Palmas
The Match
Match Report
Real Madrid return to the top of the La Liga table in style courtesy of a 4-1 success over 10-man Las Palmas at Bernabeu, with Kylian Mbappe hitting a brace.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Las Palmas.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Las Palmas at Bernabeu.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of the final of their La Liga clash with Las Palmas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Celta Vigo
Thursday, January 16 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Thursday, January 16 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Goals
for
for
43
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-2 Getafe
Sunday, January 12 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, January 12 at 1pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 75.37%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 10.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 3-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Las Palmas |
75.37% ( -0.44) | 14.61% ( 0.13) | 10.03% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
