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Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Oct 20, 2024 at 2am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
Vancouver Whitecaps

Salt Lake
2 - 1
Vancouver

Luna (73'), Boehmer (83' og.)
Brown (29'), Katranis (33')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gauld (58')
Picault (13'), Blackmon (70'), Adekugbe (72'), Ahmed (85'), Berhalter (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 0-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Los Angeles
Monday, October 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Real Salt Lake 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps

The Whitecaps' lack of depth has been evident in recent outings, and their lengthy slump is not an encouraging sign heading into this encounter, and we project the altitude in Utah may get to them on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Salt Lake in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Salt Lake.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawVancouver Whitecaps
59.77% (0.437 0.44) 20.35% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 19.88% (-0.358 -0.36)
Both teams to score 60.62% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.12% (-0.152 -0.15)35.88% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.03% (-0.167 -0.17)57.96% (0.165 0.16)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.25% (0.070999999999998 0.07)11.74% (-0.071 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.1% (0.154 0.15)36.89% (-0.156 -0.16)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (-0.428 -0.43)31.31% (0.428 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (-0.5 -0.5)67.67% (0.499 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 59.77%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 19.88%
    Draw 20.35%
Real Salt LakeDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.44% (0.111 0.11)
1-0 @ 7.88% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.06% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.75% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.03 0.03)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 59.77%
1-1 @ 9.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.35%
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 19.88%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs Vancouver

Real Salt Lake
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Vancouver Whitecaps
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2024 11.30pm
Vancouver
1-2
Salt Lake
Kreilach (33')
Julio (70'), Katranis (76')
Katranis (47'), Vera (90+6'), MacMath (90+9')
Sep 24, 2023 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-1
Vancouver
Vera (47'), Glad (65')
Brody (74'), Palacio (81'), Vera (90+4')
White (17')
Raposo (90+14'), Adekugbe (90+11')
Feb 26, 2023 3.30am
Jun 5, 2022 12am
Vancouver
2-1
Salt Lake
Caicedo (38'), Jungwirth (76'), Alexandre (90')
Herrera (28'), Meram (62'), Loffelsend (68')
Herrera (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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