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Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 3.30am UK
BC Place Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Vancouver
0 - 3
Seattle


Adekugbe (13'), Schopf (39'), Picault (46'), Priso-Mbongue (90+1')
Picault (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Minoungou (14'), Rusnak (65' pen.), Rothrock (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Portland
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-0 Houston
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Seattle Sounders

With both sides guaranteed a post-season berth and some key pieces for each currently on the mend, we do not expect the same intensity we are used to seeing from these arch-rivals, who will not want to risk losing another player so close to the post-season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSeattle Sounders
49.75% (-0.684 -0.68) 23.7% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 26.55% (0.63 0.63)
Both teams to score 57.52% (0.428 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.11% (0.298 0.3)43.88% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72% (0.29 0.29)66.27% (-0.297 -0.3)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)17.74% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58% (-0.256 -0.26)48.42% (0.25 0.25)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.92% (0.64100000000001 0.64)30.07% (-0.648 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.79% (0.76799999999999 0.77)66.21% (-0.77499999999999 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 49.75%
    Seattle Sounders 26.55%
    Draw 23.69%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSeattle Sounders
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 49.75%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.34% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.119 0.12)
0-1 @ 6.41% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 26.55%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Seattle

Vancouver Whitecaps
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Seattle Sounders
25.0%
16
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 3.30am
Seattle
1-1
Vancouver
Morris (9')
Vargas (36'), Paulo (43'), Tolo (89')
Tolo (90+4')
Gauld (90+5' pen.)
Sartini (37'), Laborda (77')
Apr 21, 2024 3.30am
Seattle
0-2
Vancouver

Musovski (70')
Ragen (43'), Roldan (74')
Gauld (58'), White (71')
Veselinovic (45+5'), White (79'), Cubas (86')
Oct 8, 2023 3.30am
Seattle
0-0
Vancouver
Roldan (34'), Chu (56'), Gomez Andrade (73')
Laborda (63'), Schopf (66'), Laryea (90+1')
Jul 9, 2023 3.30am
Vancouver
2-3
Seattle
Veselinovic (24'), Gauld (72')
Blackmon (75'), Laborda (82')
Laborda (89')
Chu (60', 76'), Gomez Andrade (90+1')
Ruidiaz (48'), Lodeiro (79')
May 21, 2023 3.30am
Vancouver
2-0
Seattle
Vite (44'), Frei (58' og.)
Vite (10'), Ahmed (34'), Cordova (90+2')

Chu (41'), Rusnak (49'), Atencio (70')
rhs 2.0
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