Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.