Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Brest had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Brest |
48.26% ( -0.01) | 24.4% ( 0.09) | 27.33% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 55.83% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.58% ( -0.44) | 46.42% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.29% ( -0.42) | 68.7% ( 0.41) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.69% ( -0.18) | 19.31% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.94% ( -0.29) | 51.06% ( 0.28) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.19% ( -0.3) | 30.81% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.92% ( -0.35) | 67.08% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 48.26% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 27.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 54 | 19 | 35 | 50 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 37 |
4 | Lille | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 35 |
5 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
6 | Lens | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 |
7 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |