Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Lyon4 - 3Brest
Tolisso (18'), Lacazette (70'), Tagliafico (79'), Maitland-Niles (90+16' pen.)
Benrahma (57'), Tagliafico (59'), O'Brien (87'), Matic (90+10')
Tagliafico (86')
Benrahma (57'), Tagliafico (59'), O'Brien (87'), Matic (90+10')
Tagliafico (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mounie (59'), Del Castillo (64', 67')
Brassier (17'), Lees-Melou (45+2'), Locko (87'), Bizot (90+11')
Lees-Melou (86')
Brassier (17'), Lees-Melou (45+2'), Locko (87'), Bizot (90+11')
Lees-Melou (86')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nantes 1-3 Lyon
Sunday, April 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 4-3 Metz
Sunday, April 7 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 7 at 12pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lyon 2-2 Brest
Despite failing to score in their last two Ligue 1 meetings with Brest, Lyon's seven-game undefeated run against this weekend's opponents should become eight in a potentially exciting game. The goalless game at the Groupama last year was an anomaly, as eight of the last 10 matches between these sides have ended with both sides scoring. Thus, expect another high-scoring affair on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Brest |
41.92% ( -1.32) | 25.49% ( -0.14) | 32.59% ( 1.46) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( 1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.43% ( 1.12) | 48.57% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.31% ( 1.01) | 70.69% ( -1.01) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( -0.16) | 23.04% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.14% ( -0.23) | 56.85% ( 0.23) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.75% ( 1.52) | 28.25% ( -1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.05% ( 1.88) | 63.95% ( -1.88) |
| Score Analysis |
Lyon 41.92%
Brest 32.59%
Draw 25.48%
| Lyon | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.59% |
How you voted: Lyon vs Brest
Lyon
42.4%Draw
32.2%Brest
25.4%59
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 8pm
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Lyon
0-0
Brest
Dec 28, 2022 8pm
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Brest
2-1
Lyon
Aug 7, 2021 4pm
