MX23RW : Wednesday, May 1 00:00:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Clermont Foot
Le Havre
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Lyon
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Monaco
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Rennes
Strasbourg
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Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 4.05pm UK
Roazhon Park
Brest logo

Rennes
4 - 5
Brest

Kalimuendo (4', 9'), Theate (68'), Terrier (79')
Terrier (45+1'), Matusiwa (56'), Kalimuendo (80'), Le Fee (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mounie (11'), Omari (48' og.), Satriano (54'), Camara (66'), Brassier (90+6')
Lees-Melou (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 0-3 Rennes
Saturday, April 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rennes 2-1 Brest

Despite enjoying an impressive campaign, Brest appear to have lost a degree of momentum in their Champions League bid, and while that may be down to a tough run of fixtures, they face another difficult test at the weekend against a Rennes side rejuvenated by an important victory last time out, and we back the hosts to make it consecutive three-point hauls on Sunday as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Brest had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
RennesDrawBrest
48.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.4% (0.087 0.09) 27.33% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.83% (-0.358 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (-0.442 -0.44)46.42% (0.438 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (-0.417 -0.42)68.7% (0.41199999999999 0.41)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.179 -0.18)19.31% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.94% (-0.291 -0.29)51.06% (0.285 0.28)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.29600000000001 -0.3)30.81% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.34500000000001 -0.35)67.08% (0.34100000000001 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 48.26%
    Brest 27.33%
    Draw 24.39%
RennesDrawBrest
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.126 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.05% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 48.26%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 7% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 27.33%

How you voted: Rennes vs Brest

Rennes
51.1%
Draw
31.1%
Brest
17.8%
45
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 4
Brest
0-0
Rennes
Del Castillo (27'), Martin (80'), Chardonnet (90+3')
Assignon (73')
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Brest
1-2
Rennes
Belkebla (36' pen.)
Magnetti (42'), Lees-Melou (45+2'), Lemarechal (90+4')
Bourigeaud (13', 45+4')
Gouiri (42'), Meling (83'), Bourigeaud (85'), Alemdar (90+4')
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Rennes
3-1
Brest
Rodon (53'), Terrier (89'), Doue (90+1')
Assignon (61'), Tait (86')
Honorat (57')
Feb 6, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 23
Rennes
2-0
Brest
Laborde (20'), Terrier (90')
Martin (1'), Santamaria (31'), Terrier (59')
Aug 15, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 2
Brest
1-1
Rennes
Le Douaron (90+1')
Honorat (39'), Brassier (44')
Guirassy (84')
Bourigeaud (44'), Ugochukwu (80'), Traore (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525


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