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Ligue 1
Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 4.05pm UK
Roazhon Park
Marseille

Rennes
2 - 0
Marseille

Terrier (21'), Bourigeaud (77' pen.)
Kalimuendo (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harit (38'), Lopez (76'), Sarr (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Sunday, March 10 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Marseille
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Rennes 1-2 Marseille

 Both sides will be desperate for three points in a pivotal contest in the top-five race, and despite facing a tough trip, Marseille are in fine fettle under new management and playing to their full potential, and we fancy them to make it four Ligue 1 wins on the bounce as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawMarseille
42.78% (-0.424 -0.42) 24.51% (0.058 0.06) 32.71% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 58.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82% (-0.153 -0.15)44.18% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (-0.15 -0.15)66.56% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24% (-0.255 -0.25)20.76% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61% (-0.403 -0.4)53.39% (0.405 0.41)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (0.151 0.15)26.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (0.201 0.2)61.07% (-0.198 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 42.78%
    Marseille 32.71%
    Draw 24.51%
RennesDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.68% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.056 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.27% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 32.71%

How you voted: Rennes vs Marseille

Rennes
32.3%
Draw
18.5%
Marseille
49.2%
65
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 8.05pm
Round of 32
Rennes
1-1
Marseille
 Rennes win 9-8 on penalties
Terrier (53')
Doue (27'), Yildirim (88')
Veretout (29')
Onana (36'), Garcia (45+3'), Oliveira (49')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Marseille
2-0
Rennes
Aubameyang (8' pen.), Ounahi (65')
Mughe (81')
Ndiaye (67')

Santamaria (36'), Matic (76'), Gouiri (90')
Wooh (61')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Rennes
0-1
Marseille
Kolasinac (57')
> Preview
Jan 20, 2023 8.10pm
Round of 32
Marseille
1-0
Rennes
Guendouzi (59')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Marseille
1-1
Rennes
Guendouzi (52')
Guendouzi (25' og.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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