Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Atalanta BC |
28.47% ( -1.24) | 25.08% ( -0.34) | 46.44% ( 1.58) |
Both teams to score 54.45% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.37% ( 0.77) | 48.62% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.26% ( 0.7) | 70.74% ( -0.7) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.9% ( -0.5) | 31.1% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.57% ( -0.59) | 67.43% ( 0.59) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.03% ( 1.03) | 20.97% ( -1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.28% ( 1.58) | 53.72% ( -1.58) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.47% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.58% Total : 46.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
> Serie A Full Table |