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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Gewiss Stadium
Udinese logo

Atalanta
2 - 1
Udinese

Pasalic (56'), Toure (60' og.)
Lookman (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kamara (45+3')
Toure (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 0-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Udinese 0-2 Juventus
Saturday, November 2 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Udinese

Although Udinese pose more of a threat than last term, Atalanta's recent defensive record is only outshone by their towering tally of goals. Even if the Bianconeri do find the net, La Dea should still out-score them and seal a fifth straight success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawUdinese
72.13% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 17.13% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 10.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.52% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)40.28% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.35% (-0.064 -0.06)62.65% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.18% (0.0039999999999907 0)9.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.38% (0.0040000000000049 0)32.61% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.8% (-0.139 -0.14)46.2% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.12% (-0.109 -0.11)81.87% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 72.12%
    Udinese 10.75%
    Draw 17.13%
Atalanta BCDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 12.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.45% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.48% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.54% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 72.12%
1-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 17.13%
0-1 @ 3.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 3.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 10.75%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Udinese

Atalanta BC
89.2%
Draw
8.8%
Udinese
2.0%
102
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 22
Atalanta
2-0
Udinese
Miranchuk (33'), Scamacca (45+1')
Pasalic (75'), Ederson (77')

Kristensen (28')
Nov 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 12
Udinese
1-1
Atalanta
Walace (44')
Ferreira (41'), Bijol (77')
Ederson (90+2')
Hateboer (37'), Koopmeiners (58'), de Roon (89')
Mar 4, 2023 5pm
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Udinese
2-2
Atalanta
Deulofeu (67'), Perez (78')
Lookman (36'), Muriel (56' pen.)
Jan 9, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Udinese
2-6
Atalanta
Djimsiti (59' og.), Beto (88')
Becao (30'), Deulofeu (44')
Pasalic (17'), Muriel (22', 76'), Malinovskyi (43'), Maehle (89'), Pessina (90+2')
de Roon (45+1'), Djimsiti (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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