Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 10.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Udinese |
72.13% ( 0.08) | 17.13% ( -0.02) | 10.75% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.52% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.72% ( -0.06) | 40.28% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.35% ( -0.06) | 62.65% ( 0.07) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.18% ( 0) | 9.82% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.38% ( 0) | 32.61% ( -0) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.8% ( -0.14) | 46.2% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.12% ( -0.11) | 81.87% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Udinese |
2-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.97% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.54% Total : 72.12% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.81% Total : 17.13% | 0-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 10.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |