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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo

Roma
2 - 0
Napoli

Pellegrini (76'), Lukaku (90+6')
Paredes (28'), Kristensen (32'), Mourinho (32'), Cristante (38'), Belotti (60'), Zalewski (66'), El Shaarawy (81'), Azmoun (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rui (28'), Mazzarri (31'), Jesus (62'), Osimhen (73')
Politano (66'), Osimhen (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Roma
Sunday, December 17 at 5pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-4 Frosinone
Tuesday, December 19 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Roma 1-0 Napoli

 Roma can heap more misery on stuttering Napoli by edging a tight contest and leapfrogging their southern rivals in the Serie A standings. Although the Scudetto holders have produced consistent results on the road, their hosts have the knack of grinding out gritty wins at Stadio Olimpico. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawNapoli
42.03% (-0.83 -0.83) 25.41% (0.181 0.18) 32.56% (0.653 0.65)
Both teams to score 55.49% (-0.36 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78% (-0.577 -0.58)48.23% (0.582 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (-0.529 -0.53)70.38% (0.53500000000001 0.54)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (-0.645 -0.64)22.83% (0.65 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.45% (-0.963 -0.96)56.56% (0.969 0.97)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (0.137 0.14)28.09% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (0.172 0.17)63.76% (-0.167 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Roma 42.03%
    Napoli 32.56%
    Draw 25.4%
RomaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.03%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.153 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.224 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.161 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.56%

How you voted: Roma vs Napoli

Roma
51.4%
Draw
19.0%
Napoli
29.5%
105
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Napoli
2-1
Roma
Osimhen (17'), Simeone (86')
El Shaarawy (75')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Roma
0-1
Napoli
Osimhen (80')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Napoli
1-1
Roma
Insigne (11' pen.)
Koulibaly (37'), Zanoli (52'), Lozano (63'), Insigne (64')
El Shaarawy (90+1')
Cristante (17'), Zaniolo (71')
Fuzato (79')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
0-0
Napoli
Mourinho (19'), Abraham (30'), Mourinho (82'), Karsdorp (90+4'), Veretout (90+4'), Mancini (90+5')
Mertens (90+5')
Spalletti (90+6')
> Preview
Mar 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Roma
0-2
Napoli

Ibanez (26'), Mancini (45+1'), Diawara (59'), El Shaarawy (64'), Villar (85')
Mertens (27', 34')
Zielinski (47'), Koulibaly (78'), Osimhen (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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