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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo

Roma
2 - 0
Napoli

Pellegrini (76'), Lukaku (90+6')
Paredes (28'), Kristensen (32'), Mourinho (32'), Cristante (38'), Belotti (60'), Zalewski (66'), El Shaarawy (81'), Azmoun (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rui (28'), Mazzarri (31'), Jesus (62'), Osimhen (73')
Politano (66'), Osimhen (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Roma
Sunday, December 17 at 5pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-4 Frosinone
Tuesday, December 19 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Roma 1-0 Napoli

 Roma can heap more misery on stuttering Napoli by edging a tight contest and leapfrogging their southern rivals in the Serie A standings. Although the Scudetto holders have produced consistent results on the road, their hosts have the knack of grinding out gritty wins at Stadio Olimpico. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawNapoli
42.03% (-0.83 -0.83) 25.41% (0.181 0.18) 32.56% (0.653 0.65)
Both teams to score 55.49% (-0.36 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78% (-0.577 -0.58)48.23% (0.582 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (-0.529 -0.53)70.38% (0.53500000000001 0.54)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (-0.645 -0.64)22.83% (0.65 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.45% (-0.963 -0.96)56.56% (0.969 0.97)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (0.137 0.14)28.09% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (0.172 0.17)63.76% (-0.167 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Roma 42.03%
    Napoli 32.56%
    Draw 25.4%
RomaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.03%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.153 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.224 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.161 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.56%

How you voted: Roma vs Napoli

Roma
51.4%
Draw
19.0%
Napoli
29.5%
105
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Napoli
2-1
Roma
Osimhen (17'), Simeone (86')
El Shaarawy (75')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Roma
0-1
Napoli
Osimhen (80')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Napoli
1-1
Roma
Insigne (11' pen.)
Koulibaly (37'), Zanoli (52'), Lozano (63'), Insigne (64')
El Shaarawy (90+1')
Cristante (17'), Zaniolo (71')
Fuzato (79')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
0-0
Napoli
Mourinho (19'), Abraham (30'), Mourinho (82'), Karsdorp (90+4'), Veretout (90+4'), Mancini (90+5')
Mertens (90+5')
Spalletti (90+6')
> Preview
Mar 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Roma
0-2
Napoli

Ibanez (26'), Mancini (45+1'), Diawara (59'), El Shaarawy (64'), Villar (85')
Mertens (27', 34')
Zielinski (47'), Koulibaly (78'), Osimhen (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Como184682030-1018
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1860122442-1818
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910
> Serie A Full Table


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