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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
33.22% ( -0.12) | 26.19% ( -0.05) | 40.58% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 53.08% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.58% ( 0.17) | 51.42% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.76% ( 0.15) | 73.23% ( -0.15) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.76% ( 0.01) | 29.24% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.8% ( 0.01) | 65.2% ( -0.01) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% ( 0.17) | 24.98% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.37% ( 0.23) | 59.62% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.22% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 40.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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