Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Genoa |
30.41% ( -0.12) | 26.38% ( -0.08) | 43.21% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 51.46% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.96% ( 0.26) | 53.03% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.38% ( 0.22) | 74.62% ( -0.22) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.03% ( 0.05) | 31.97% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.58% ( 0.06) | 68.42% ( -0.06) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% ( 0.22) | 24.36% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.24% ( 0.3) | 58.76% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.41% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |