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Venezia
Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Genoa logo

Salernitana
1 - 2
Genoa

FT(HT: 1-1)
Retegui (13'), Gudmundsson (58' pen.)
Frendrup (29'), Badelj (45+1'), Bani (60'), Vogliacco (70'), Martinez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 0-0 Torino
Saturday, January 13 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 0-1 Genoa

Although Genoa have struggled to score regularly on the road, Salernitana's vulnerable defence can be breached at least once by Gilardino's tough-to-beat Grifone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawGenoa
30.41% (-0.118 -0.12) 26.38% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 43.21% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.184 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.96% (0.262 0.26)53.03% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.38% (0.222 0.22)74.62% (-0.223 -0.22)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03% (0.048000000000002 0.05)31.97% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58% (0.057000000000002 0.06)68.42% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (0.217 0.22)24.36% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.24% (0.302 0.3)58.76% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 30.41%
    Genoa 43.2%
    Draw 26.38%
SalernitanaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 8.88% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.41%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.79% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 10.99% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.77% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.17% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 43.2%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Genoa

Salernitana
26.3%
Draw
21.1%
Genoa
52.6%
57
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Genoa
1-0
Salernitana
Gudmundsson (35')
Malinovskyi (37'), Bani (42'), De Winter (71')

Maggiore (37'), Bradaric (39'), Gyomber (70'), Ikwuemesi (86')
Feb 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 25
Genoa
1-1
Salernitana
Destro (32')
Sturaro (53'), Badelj (60'), Rovella (66')
Bonazzoli (45+1')
Mazzocchi (63'), Dragusin (75')
Dec 14, 2021 8pm
Second Round
Genoa
1-0
Salernitana
Ekuban (76')
Galdames (21'), Vasquez (32')

Schiavone (11'), Colantuono (12'), Vergani (45+2'), Di Tacchio (57')
Oct 2, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 7
Salernitana
1-0
Genoa
Djuric (66')
Gyomber (89'), Ribery (90+1')

Maksimovic (75'), Cambiaso (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma185582424020
11Empoli194871822-420
12Torino185581924-520
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
15Parma184682534-918
16Como184682030-1018
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
19CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
20Monza1817101625-910


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