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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Salernitana

Genoa
1 - 0
Salernitana

Gudmundsson (35')
Malinovskyi (37'), Bani (42'), De Winter (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Maggiore (37'), Bradaric (39'), Gyomber (70'), Ikwuemesi (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Genoa
Sunday, October 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Cagliari
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-1 Salernitana

It is difficult to back either side with any real confidence; Genoa are the favourites, but they have not exactly been impressive this season. It would not be a surprise to see a home victory, but we have a feeling that Salernitana will be able to claim a share of the spoils on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.

Result
GenoaDrawSalernitana
52.8% (0.012 0.01) 24.62% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 22.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.34% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)51.37% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)73.19% (-0.005999999999986 -0.01)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)19.42% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.76% (0.012 0.01)51.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.53% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)74.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 52.79%
    Salernitana 22.58%
    Draw 24.62%
GenoaDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-0 @ 9.79% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 52.79%
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 22.58%

How you voted: Genoa vs Salernitana

Genoa
67.2%
Draw
25.4%
Salernitana
7.5%
67
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 25
Genoa
1-1
Salernitana
Destro (32')
Sturaro (53'), Badelj (60'), Rovella (66')
Bonazzoli (45+1')
Mazzocchi (63'), Dragusin (75')
Dec 14, 2021 8pm
Second Round
Genoa
1-0
Salernitana
Ekuban (76')
Galdames (21'), Vasquez (32')

Schiavone (11'), Colantuono (12'), Vergani (45+2'), Di Tacchio (57')
Oct 2, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 7
Salernitana
1-0
Genoa
Djuric (66')
Gyomber (89'), Ribery (90+1')

Maksimovic (75'), Cambiaso (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese207582328-526
11Genoa215881830-1223
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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