Monza

1 - 0

Genoa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monza in this match.