League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 4
Mar 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tallaght Stadium
Shamrock2 - 2Derry
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shamrock Rovers and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shelbourne 2-1 Shamrock
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-1 St Patrick's
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
40.25% ( 0.08) | 26.73% ( 0.07) | 33.02% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 51.33% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.36% ( -0.33) | 53.64% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.86% ( -0.28) | 75.13% ( 0.28) |
Shamrock Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.83% ( -0.11) | 26.16% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.75% ( -0.15) | 61.24% ( 0.15) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.52% ( -0.27) | 30.48% ( 0.27) |