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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
FC Utrecht

Sparta
1 - 4
Utrecht

Lauritsen (90+1' pen.)
Clement (39')
van der Kust (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jensen (15'), Rodriguez (85'), Aaronson (88'), van der Hoorn (90+5')
van der Hoorn (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 Sparta
Saturday, October 26 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 FC Utrecht

Despite recently suffering a first defeat of the season against Feyenoord, Utrecht have made a blistering start to proceedings this term and will definitely take some stopping this weekend.   We are backing the visitors to come out triumphant at the end of the 90 minutes in what should be an exciting affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawFC Utrecht
38.76% (0.403 0.4) 24.72% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 36.52% (-0.5 -0.5)
Both teams to score 58.76% (-0.381 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.64% (-0.478 -0.48)44.35% (0.477 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.27% (-0.467 -0.47)66.73% (0.464 0.46)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)22.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.56% (-0.012 -0.01)56.44% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (-0.488 -0.49)23.93% (0.486 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.85% (-0.699 -0.7)58.15% (0.698 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 38.76%
    FC Utrecht 36.52%
    Draw 24.71%
Sparta RotterdamDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.06% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 5.97% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.112 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.52%

How you voted: Sparta vs Utrecht

Sparta Rotterdam
13.6%
Draw
28.8%
FC Utrecht
57.6%
59
Head to Head
May 23, 2024 8pm
Utrecht
3-1
Sparta
Flamingo (41'), Lammers (70'), Jensen (90+3')
Jensen (90+4')
Lauritsen (38')
Clement (35'), Metinho (90+5')
May 12, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Utrecht
0-1
Sparta

ter Avest (23')
Neghli (68')
Nov 26, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
Sparta
1-2
Utrecht
Neghli (43')
Seuntjens (5'), Lidberg (54')
Leliendal (40'), Barkas (71'), Boussaid (76')
Jun 4, 2023 5pm
Sparta
0-1
Utrecht
(Aggregate 1-1 | Sparta win 0-0 on penalties)

van Crooij (90+1')
Viergever (80')
van der Maarel (59'), Bozdogan (90+6')
Jun 1, 2023 8pm
Utrecht
1-2
Sparta
Douvikas (70')
Douvikas (28'), Klaiber (34')
Van Crooij (29' pen.), Lauritsen (39')
Olij (34'), Sambo (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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