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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
38.76% ( 0.4) | 24.72% ( 0.09) | 36.52% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 58.76% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.64% ( -0.48) | 44.35% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.27% ( -0.47) | 66.73% ( 0.46) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.24% ( -0.01) | 22.75% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.56% ( -0.01) | 56.44% ( 0.01) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% ( -0.49) | 23.93% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.85% ( -0.7) | 58.15% ( 0.7) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.76% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |